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Red264
456167.2
4610124.5
6898128.7
Blue386
5892135.2
5417124.2
3005198.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923550100200400500600700800264386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#21
167.21.9
172.1170.2
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
blue by 31.0
198.21.3
193.0194.3
Auto24.3
Teleop148.5
End29.9
Second
6898
#20
128.72.1
123.4125.5
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
blue by 6.5
5892
#12
135.20.1
133.3133.4
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End15.1
Third
4610
#31
124.50.3
124.7124.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7
red by 0.3
5417
#22
124.21.6
127.0125.5
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed