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Red318
3481160.4
323147.7
5986152.6
Blue290
3997138.1
5572203.4
5829118.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326314100200400500318290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.40.8
156.8157.6
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
blue by 43.0
203.41.6
199.1200.6
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
Second
5986
#16
152.60.8
153.9153.2
Auto19.2
Teleop122.1
End7.7
red by 14.4
3997
#28
138.11.3
140.3139.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.5
End9.0
Third
323
#6
147.70.3
146.5146.7
Auto21.7
Teleop110.2
End17.6
red by 28.9
5829
#27
118.81.5
115.9117.4
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed