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Red227
4587198.6
3999139.1
5431168.7
Blue307
7179159.3
5414160.1
5427141.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752810100200500600700227307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.62.0
193.0195.0
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
red by 38.5
160.10.3
156.4156.8
Auto21.6
Teleop126.1
End16.2
Second
168.71.2
167.0168.2
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
red by 9.4
7179
#14
159.30.3
159.1158.8
Auto18.4
Teleop119.1
End22.2
Third
3999
#24
139.12.1
143.2141.1
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
blue by 2.3
5427
#13
141.40.6
141.3140.7
Auto18.2
Teleop105.5
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed