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Red159
5052117.9
1817141.9
65397.4
Blue271
6377141.4
4192150.2
3366119.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743170200400600800159271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.90.0
141.9141.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
blue by 8.3
4192
#10
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
5052
#19
117.90.0
117.9117.9
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
blue by 23.5
6377
#11
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0
Third
653
#21
97.40.0
97.497.4
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
blue by 22.1
3366
#15
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest odds38%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds