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Red151
6357129.9
2881121.4
3999139.1
Blue339
1296166.6
2848159.9
418145.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2043570100300400500600151339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3999
#18
139.10.0
139.1139.1
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
blue by 27.5
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
129.90.0
129.9129.9
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
blue by 29.9
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
Third
2881
#22
121.40.0
121.4121.4
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
blue by 23.7
418
#12
145.10.0
145.1145.1
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest odds89%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds