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Red246
3240119.6
418145.1
3999139.1
Blue281
65397.4
5417124.2
2468155.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392450100200300400500600700246281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#12
145.10.0
145.1145.1
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
blue by 10.0
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
Second
3999
#18
139.10.0
139.1139.1
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
red by 14.9
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Third
3240
#17
119.60.0
119.6119.6
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End19.4
red by 22.2
653
#21
97.40.0
97.497.4
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest odds37%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds