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Red322
998960.1
3481160.4
6377141.4
Blue292
4610124.5
2881121.4
1817141.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305304260280320340360322292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#14
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
red by 18.5
141.90.0
141.9141.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
Second
6377
#11
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0
red by 16.9
124.50.0
124.5124.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7
Third
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 61.3
2881
#22
121.40.0
121.4121.4
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest odds77%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds