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Red269
1296166.6
2468155.2
3366119.4
Blue191
5930134.5
3735140.2
65397.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192600100200400500600269191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
red by 26.4
3735
#20
140.20.0
140.2140.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.3
End22.5
Second
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
red by 20.7
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
3366
#15
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
red by 22.1
653
#21
97.40.0
97.497.4
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest odds29%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds