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Red296
429598.8
2848159.9
998960.1
Blue324
5930134.5
1296166.6
1817141.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143650100300400500600296324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
blue by 6.7
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
4295
#23
98.80.0
98.898.8
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
blue by 43.1
141.90.0
141.9141.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
Third
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 74.4
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest odds80%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds