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Red379
6357129.9
4610124.5
3735140.2
Blue246
5052117.9
5417124.2
3481160.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310304200250350400379246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#20
140.20.0
140.2140.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.3
End22.5
blue by 20.2
3481
#14
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
Second
129.90.0
129.9129.9
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
red by 5.7
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Third
124.50.0
124.5124.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7
red by 6.6
5052
#19
117.90.0
117.9117.9
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest odds73%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds