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Red140
2468155.2
6377141.4
429598.8
Blue371
2848159.9
3999139.1
5930134.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543480100200300400500600700800140371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
blue by 4.7
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
Second
6377
#11
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0
red by 2.3
3999
#18
139.10.0
139.1139.1
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
Third
4295
#23
98.80.0
98.898.8
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
blue by 35.7
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest odds88%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds