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Red232
2881121.4
4192150.2
3481160.4
Blue360
418145.1
2583119.2
429598.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642260100300400500600232360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#14
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
red by 15.2
418
#12
145.10.0
145.1145.1
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
Second
4192
#10
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
red by 31.0
2583
#16
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto16.6
Teleop89.7
End13.2
Third
2881
#22
121.40.0
121.4121.4
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
red by 22.6
4295
#23
98.80.0
98.898.8
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds28%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds