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Red395
1817141.9
2158115.8
2468155.2
Blue163
65397.4
1296166.6
4610124.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982680100200400500395163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
blue by 11.4
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
141.90.0
141.9141.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
red by 17.4
124.50.0
124.5124.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7
Third
2158
#13
115.80.0
115.8115.8
Auto16.2
Teleop93.0
End5.1
red by 18.4
653
#21
97.40.0
97.497.4
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest odds59%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds