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Red289
2158124.3
709398.2
4694106.3
Blue80
5103108.2
65397.4
296985.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25324810015020028980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#20
124.31.9
107.8109.7
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End9.8
red by 16.2
5103
#48
108.210.8
85.596.3
Auto13.0
Teleop83.6
End6.3
Second
4694
#19
106.30.1
100.6100.5
Auto14.6
Teleop85.8
End7.3
red by 8.9
653
#38
97.41.1
103.5102.4
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
Third
7093
#45
98.211.0
77.788.7
Auto12.4
Teleop79.0
End2.6
red by 12.7
2969
#49
85.510.3
77.788.0
Auto11.7
Teleop68.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed