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Qual 112018 Alamo Regional
Red273
4332109.3
4412105.1
3847161.5
Blue392
5572196.0
2721116.2
6830122.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513340100200300400500600700273392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#1
161.51.4
136.9→138.3
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
blue by 34.5
5572
#4
196.02.3
175.6→177.9
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End29.0
Second
4332
#39
109.39.3
77.6→86.9
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End3.8
blue by 13.4
6830
#27
122.710.3
77.7→88.0
Auto15.6
Teleop95.9
End8.9
Third
4412
#35
105.113.4
79.5→92.9
Auto15.0
Teleop79.5
End11.9
blue by 11.1
2721
#34
116.212.7
76.3→89.1
Auto14.8
Teleop88.3
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed