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Qual 142018 Alamo Regional
Red198
5681111.4
6935110.4
457124.3
Blue308
2723133.8
3035116.0
3997138.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203120100400500600198308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#8
124.30.4
110.3→109.9
Auto19.8
Teleop95.3
End11.1
blue by 14.0
3997
#9
138.48.0
103.5→111.5
Auto18.4
Teleop106.2
End13.4
Second
5681
#29
111.48.7
85.0→93.7
Auto16.1
Teleop87.9
End11.7
blue by 22.4
2723
#25
133.80.4
134.9→135.4
Auto15.6
Teleop104.1
End15.9
Third
6935
#28
110.410.4
77.7→88.1
Auto16.3
Teleop82.2
End9.5
blue by 5.6
3035
#37
116.011.4
86.9→98.3
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed