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Red393
1642104.9
5866123.3
4639147.9
Blue111
6684110.4
3240119.6
706395.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422660100200300400500600393111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.90.4
131.9132.3
Auto21.7
Teleop99.0
End29.8
red by 28.3
3240
#23
119.611.3
74.085.3
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End19.4
Second
5866
#12
123.31.1
113.1112.0
Auto13.1
Teleop100.4
End8.6
red by 12.9
6684
#43
110.415.1
77.492.5
Auto13.2
Teleop87.1
End10.2
Third
1642
#16
104.90.8
101.4100.6
Auto17.1
Teleop80.6
End8.8
red by 9.1
7063
#47
95.811.6
77.789.3
Auto12.7
Teleop71.5
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed