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Qual 162018 Alamo Regional
Red346
7138121.5
6664114.0
4063156.4
Blue257
5726112.1
5503111.9
6306110.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3101900100400500346257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#7
156.40.0
148.6→148.6
Auto23.5
Teleop119.5
End13.9
red by 44.3
5726
#51
112.110.2
79.9→90.0
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
Second
7138
#26
121.511.1
77.7→88.8
Auto14.6
Teleop95.5
End9.4
red by 9.6
5503
#42
111.910.7
77.9→88.6
Auto13.9
Teleop82.5
End19.1
Third
6664
#21
114.06.7
87.3→94.0
Auto16.4
Teleop90.2
End8.0
red by 3.3
6306
#41
110.77.8
75.2→83.0
Auto15.6
Teleop82.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed