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Red239
6180111.1
4610119.8
4412105.1
Blue383
5241111.0
3679138.0
7138121.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264277200250300350239383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#40
119.80.9
119.0119.9
Auto15.5
Teleop86.3
End19.6
blue by 18.1
138.00.6
119.3120.0
Auto16.7
Teleop98.0
End25.0
Second
6180
#32
111.16.1
83.289.3
Auto12.5
Teleop84.7
End17.5
blue by 10.4
7138
#26
121.59.5
88.898.4
Auto14.6
Teleop95.5
End9.4
Third
4412
#35
105.19.8
92.9102.7
Auto15.0
Teleop79.5
End11.9
blue by 5.9
5241
#30
111.05.7
89.995.5
Auto14.8
Teleop86.0
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed