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Qual 222018 Alamo Regional
Red285
6155123.2
4639147.9
473499.6
Blue108
5894108.3
7088114.0
6664114.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752360100200300400500285108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#3
147.91.8
132.3→134.1
Auto21.7
Teleop99.0
End29.8
red by 33.9
6664
#21
114.06.5
94.0→100.5
Auto16.4
Teleop90.2
End8.0
Second
6155
#11
123.27.7
93.8→101.5
Auto18.0
Teleop92.7
End14.9
red by 9.2
7088
#46
114.06.5
89.3→95.8
Auto14.8
Teleop86.7
End9.4
Third
4734
#36
99.61.6
97.2→95.7
Auto15.7
Teleop77.8
End7.4
blue by 8.7
5894
#24
108.38.1
83.0→91.0
Auto14.8
Teleop82.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed