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Qual 252018 Alamo Regional
Red238
5503111.9
5103108.2
6315115.8
Blue163
4219129.3
5449146.8
3035116.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223380100300400500600238163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6315
#33
115.88.9
85.7→94.6
Auto14.3
Teleop87.2
End15.8
blue by 31.0
5449
#31
146.80.7
151.5→150.8
Auto17.8
Teleop114.2
End15.3
Second
5503
#42
111.99.2
88.6→97.8
Auto13.9
Teleop82.5
End19.1
blue by 17.5
4219
#22
129.30.1
131.9→131.8
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End23.0
Third
5103
#48
108.25.8
96.3→102.0
Auto13.0
Teleop83.6
End6.3
blue by 7.9
3035
#37
116.05.0
98.3→103.3
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed