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Qual 262018 Alamo Regional
Red228
5726112.1
2721116.2
5681111.4
Blue356
5866123.3
5241111.0
6357113.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244247100200300400228356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2721
#34
116.211.0
89.1→100.1
Auto14.8
Teleop88.3
End10.6
blue by 7.1
5866
#12
123.30.6
112.0→112.6
Auto13.1
Teleop100.4
End8.6
Second
5726
#51
112.18.8
90.0→98.9
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
blue by 1.7
6357
#13
113.82.5
116.1→113.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.4
End10.8
Third
5681
#29
111.40.5
99.0→99.5
Auto16.1
Teleop87.9
End11.7
red by 0.5
5241
#30
111.06.2
95.5→101.7
Auto14.8
Teleop86.0
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed