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Red256
5894108.3
6830122.7
4206140.3
Blue430
3847161.5
1642104.9
3679138.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290294250300350400256430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#10
140.30.8
136.0136.8
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End16.6
blue by 21.2
161.51.9
139.7141.6
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
Second
6830
#27
122.74.6
97.4102.0
Auto15.6
Teleop95.9
End8.9
blue by 15.3
138.01.4
120.0121.3
Auto16.7
Teleop98.0
End25.0
Third
5894
#24
108.34.5
91.095.5
Auto14.8
Teleop82.0
End13.2
red by 3.4
1642
#16
104.90.4
101.5101.1
Auto17.1
Teleop80.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed