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Qual 292018 Alamo Regional
Red95
7138121.5
3035116.0
65397.4
Blue326
4639147.9
4219129.3
7264104.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218324010040050095326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7138
#26
121.58.8
98.4→107.2
Auto14.6
Teleop95.5
End9.4
blue by 26.4
4639
#3
147.92.2
134.1→136.3
Auto21.7
Teleop99.0
End29.8
Second
3035
#37
116.02.3
103.3→105.6
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End8.8
blue by 13.3
4219
#22
129.30.5
131.8→131.3
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End23.0
Third
653
#38
97.40.3
101.2→100.9
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
blue by 6.6
7264
#14
104.05.5
94.8→100.3
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed