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Qual 302018 Alamo Regional
Red463
3997138.4
2158124.3
5449146.8
Blue142
4412105.1
5572196.0
709398.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268349100200300400500600463142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#31
146.80.9
150.8→149.9
Auto17.8
Teleop114.2
End15.3
blue by 49.2
5572
#4
196.03.3
180.7→184.0
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End29.0
Second
3997
#9
138.43.2
114.2→117.4
Auto18.4
Teleop106.2
End13.4
red by 33.3
4412
#35
105.15.7
102.7→108.3
Auto15.0
Teleop79.5
End11.9
Third
2158
#20
124.32.5
111.8→114.3
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End9.8
red by 26.2
7093
#45
98.28.7
97.8→106.5
Auto12.4
Teleop79.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed