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Qual 342018 Alamo Regional
Red365
3240119.6
3481170.6
6935110.4
Blue213
6664114.0
3345120.2
5503111.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202370100200400500600365213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#2
170.61.5
153.1→154.6
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
red by 50.4
3345
#17
120.25.0
98.7→103.8
Auto14.0
Teleop101.8
End4.6
Second
3240
#23
119.66.2
90.6→96.8
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End19.4
red by 5.6
6664
#21
114.03.5
100.5→104.0
Auto16.4
Teleop90.2
End8.0
Third
6935
#28
110.46.3
94.5→100.9
Auto16.3
Teleop82.2
End9.5
blue by 1.5
5503
#42
111.96.8
97.8→104.5
Auto13.9
Teleop82.5
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed