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Red227
2158124.3
246196.6
5241111.0
Blue319
3035116.0
3847161.5
7264104.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246302100200400500227319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#20
124.32.8
114.3117.2
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End9.8
blue by 37.1
161.52.7
141.6144.4
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
Second
5241
#30
111.06.6
101.7108.4
Auto14.8
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 5.1
3035
#37
116.00.6
105.6106.2
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End8.8
Third
2461
#44
96.62.0
99.597.5
Auto14.6
Teleop73.1
End9.0
blue by 7.4
7264
#14
104.05.2
100.3105.5
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed