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Red97
3481170.6
5894108.3
6180111.1
Blue361
2158124.3
4412105.1
4063156.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28029110015020025035097361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.60.6
151.9152.5
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
red by 14.2
156.40.8
149.4148.6
Auto23.5
Teleop119.5
End13.9
Second
6180
#32
111.118.3
54.072.3
Auto12.5
Teleop84.7
End17.5
blue by 13.2
2158
#20
124.31.6
106.2107.8
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End9.8
Third
5894
#24
108.318.4
53.772.0
Auto14.8
Teleop82.0
End13.2
red by 3.2
4412
#35
105.117.4
62.179.5
Auto15.0
Teleop79.5
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed