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Red50
6357113.8
6306110.7
6664114.0
Blue400
3847161.5
4694106.3
6684110.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286250010020040050060070050400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6664
#21
114.016.4
70.987.3
Auto16.4
Teleop90.2
End8.0
blue by 47.5
161.50.2
136.8136.9
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
Second
6357
#13
113.82.9
125.4122.5
Auto15.0
Teleop87.4
End10.8
red by 3.4
6684
#43
110.417.7
59.877.4
Auto13.2
Teleop87.1
End10.2
Third
6306
#41
110.718.0
57.275.2
Auto15.6
Teleop82.8
End10.6
red by 4.4
4694
#19
106.31.6
102.2100.6
Auto14.6
Teleop85.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed