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Red206
5103108.2
457124.3
4639147.9
Blue300
5986152.0
3679138.0
2721116.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277275200250300350206300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.90.6
131.3131.9
Auto21.7
Teleop99.0
End29.8
blue by 4.1
152.00.7
143.9143.2
Auto18.1
Teleop119.5
End13.5
Second
457
#8
124.30.4
110.7110.3
Auto19.8
Teleop95.3
End11.1
blue by 13.6
138.00.2
119.4119.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.0
End25.0
Third
5103
#48
108.216.6
68.885.5
Auto13.0
Teleop83.6
End6.3
blue by 8.0
2721
#34
116.217.8
58.576.3
Auto14.8
Teleop88.3
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed