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Red218
706395.8
3997138.4
4694106.3
Blue411
246196.6
7138121.5
3481170.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269280100200400500218411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.45.3
121.8127.1
Auto18.4
Teleop106.2
End13.4
blue by 32.3
170.62.0
154.6156.6
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
Second
4694
#19
106.31.0
102.7103.7
Auto14.6
Teleop85.8
End7.3
blue by 15.2
7138
#26
121.55.0
107.2112.2
Auto14.6
Teleop95.5
End9.4
Third
7063
#47
95.80.3
100.5100.8
Auto12.7
Teleop71.5
End15.7
blue by 0.8
2461
#44
96.62.0
97.595.5
Auto14.6
Teleop73.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed