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Red358
3679138.0
6664114.0
4332109.3
Blue231
3035116.0
7088114.0
2158124.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263281100150200300350400450358231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.02.6
123.5126.1
Auto16.7
Teleop98.0
End25.0
red by 13.6
2158
#20
124.31.9
117.2119.0
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End9.8
Second
6664
#21
114.02.2
105.9108.1
Auto16.4
Teleop90.2
End8.0
blue by 2.1
3035
#37
116.01.1
106.2107.3
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End8.8
Third
4332
#39
109.32.0
103.8105.8
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End3.8
blue by 4.7
7088
#46
114.04.3
104.4108.7
Auto14.8
Teleop86.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed