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Red256
5052117.9
4219129.3
2723133.8
Blue369
6155123.2
5866123.3
3847161.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265321100200400500600256369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2723
#25
133.80.5
132.1131.6
Auto15.6
Teleop104.1
End15.9
blue by 27.7
161.52.5
144.4146.8
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
Second
4219
#22
129.30.7
131.4130.8
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End23.0
red by 6.0
5866
#12
123.30.9
115.5116.4
Auto13.1
Teleop100.4
End8.6
Third
5052
#15
117.91.1
111.3112.4
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
blue by 5.3
6155
#11
123.24.0
109.7113.7
Auto18.0
Teleop92.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed