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Red50
2721116.2
65397.4
4412105.1
Blue143
5754114.8
5503111.9
6684110.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25328010020040050050143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2721
#34
116.23.4
114.7118.2
Auto14.8
Teleop88.3
End10.6
red by 1.4
5754
#18
114.80.1
112.8112.9
Auto16.4
Teleop87.5
End12.3
Second
4412
#35
105.11.5
109.2107.8
Auto15.0
Teleop79.5
End11.9
blue by 6.8
5503
#42
111.91.4
108.7110.1
Auto13.9
Teleop82.5
End19.1
Third
653
#38
97.40.7
100.4101.1
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
blue by 13.1
6684
#43
110.41.4
106.7108.0
Auto13.2
Teleop87.1
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed