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Red418
3028108.4
5726112.1
5572196.0
Blue270
5103108.2
1642104.9
3481170.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3343040200400600800418270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.02.0
185.4187.4
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End29.0
red by 25.4
170.63.1
156.6159.7
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
Second
5726
#51
112.10.5
106.6107.2
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
red by 4.0
5103
#48
108.20.7
108.4109.1
Auto13.0
Teleop83.6
End6.3
Third
3028
#50
108.41.4
105.2106.6
Auto15.0
Teleop79.7
End10.3
red by 3.5
1642
#16
104.91.0
101.9102.8
Auto17.1
Teleop80.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed