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Red165
4206140.3
296985.5
5449146.8
Blue386
5866123.3
5894108.3
2723133.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082560100200400500600700165386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#31
146.80.0
150.1150.0
Auto17.8
Teleop114.2
End15.3
red by 13.0
2723
#25
133.80.1
131.6131.6
Auto15.6
Teleop104.1
End15.9
Second
4206
#10
140.30.6
137.5138.1
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End16.6
red by 17.0
5866
#12
123.31.5
116.4117.9
Auto13.1
Teleop100.4
End8.6
Third
2969
#49
85.50.3
91.190.8
Auto11.7
Teleop68.1
End6.1
blue by 22.8
5894
#24
108.32.1
100.6102.7
Auto14.8
Teleop82.0
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed