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Red184
6306110.7
5241111.0
6684110.4
Blue430
3997138.4
4332109.3
5986152.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1853520100300400500600184430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5241
#30
111.00.4
111.6112.0
Auto14.8
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 41.1
152.01.1
146.4147.5
Auto18.1
Teleop119.5
End13.5
Second
6306
#41
110.74.9
97.1101.9
Auto15.6
Teleop82.8
End10.6
blue by 27.7
138.42.6
127.1129.7
Auto18.4
Teleop106.2
End13.4
Third
6684
#43
110.40.7
108.0108.7
Auto13.2
Teleop87.1
End10.2
red by 1.1
4332
#39
109.32.9
105.8108.7
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed