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Qual 582018 Alamo Regional
Red317
457124.3
6180111.1
1642104.9
Blue116
5681111.4
709398.2
65397.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263241100200300400317116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#8
124.32.0
112.5→114.6
Auto19.8
Teleop95.3
End11.1
red by 12.9
5681
#29
111.42.5
104.8→107.4
Auto16.1
Teleop87.9
End11.7
Second
6180
#32
111.12.4
98.8→101.2
Auto12.5
Teleop84.7
End17.5
red by 13.0
7093
#45
98.22.8
110.7→107.8
Auto12.4
Teleop79.0
End2.6
Third
1642
#16
104.90.8
102.8→103.6
Auto17.1
Teleop80.6
End8.8
red by 7.6
653
#38
97.40.3
101.1→100.8
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed