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Red251
5986152.0
6315115.8
5726112.1
Blue368
6830122.7
3847161.5
709398.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042770100200400500600700800251368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.01.2
149.6150.9
Auto18.1
Teleop119.5
End13.5
blue by 9.5
161.52.2
153.2155.5
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
Second
6315
#33
115.80.8
114.6115.5
Auto14.3
Teleop87.2
End15.8
blue by 6.9
6830
#27
122.73.0
116.1119.1
Auto15.6
Teleop95.9
End8.9
Third
5726
#51
112.10.1
110.2110.3
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
red by 14.0
7093
#45
98.22.6
100.898.2
Auto12.4
Teleop79.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed