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Red274
6935110.4
6357113.8
65397.4
Blue272
5052117.9
473499.6
4412105.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237253100150200300350274272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#13
113.81.3
111.9113.2
Auto15.0
Teleop87.4
End10.8
blue by 4.1
5052
#15
117.91.4
115.4116.8
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
Second
6935
#28
110.40.9
111.3110.4
Auto16.3
Teleop82.2
End9.5
red by 5.3
4412
#35
105.10.4
104.7105.1
Auto15.0
Teleop79.5
End11.9
Third
653
#38
97.41.3
98.697.4
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
blue by 2.2
4734
#36
99.60.7
97.097.7
Auto15.7
Teleop77.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed