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Semifinal 1-12018 Alamo Regional
Red422
3481170.6
3847161.5
5726112.1
Blue123
3997138.4
457124.3
3035116.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354299100200400500600422123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#2
170.60.4
168.2→168.6
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
red by 32.3
3997
#9
138.40.9
136.7→137.7
Auto18.4
Teleop106.2
End13.4
Second
3847
#1
161.50.8
157.2→158.0
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
red by 37.1
457
#8
124.30.7
123.0→123.8
Auto19.8
Teleop95.3
End11.1
Third
5726
#51
112.10.2
110.5→110.6
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
blue by 3.9
3035
#37
116.00.8
114.7→115.5
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End8.8