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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Alamo Regional
Red455
3481170.6
3847161.5
5726112.1
Blue202
5052117.9
6357113.8
4610119.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385258100200300500600700455202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#2
170.60.3
167.9→168.2
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
red by 50.8
4610
#40
119.80.0
119.9→119.8
Auto15.5
Teleop86.3
End19.6
Second
3847
#1
161.50.8
156.4→157.2
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
red by 43.6
5052
#15
117.90.5
117.4→117.9
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
Third
5726
#51
112.10.1
110.4→110.5
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
blue by 1.7
6357
#13
113.80.3
113.5→113.8
Auto15.0
Teleop87.4
End10.8