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Semifinal 1-22018 Alamo Regional
Red452
3481170.6
3847161.5
5726112.1
Blue202
3997138.4
457124.3
3035116.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364290100200400500600452202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#2
170.60.4
168.6→169.0
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
red by 32.3
3997
#9
138.40.7
137.7→138.4
Auto18.4
Teleop106.2
End13.4
Second
3847
#1
161.50.8
158.0→158.8
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
red by 37.1
457
#8
124.30.6
123.8→124.3
Auto19.8
Teleop95.3
End11.1
Third
5726
#51
112.10.3
110.6→110.9
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
blue by 3.9
3035
#37
116.00.5
115.5→116.0
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End8.8