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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red408
3310226.7
118228.6
5427147.7
Blue185
5417127.7
1255135.0
1817141.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4971680100300400600700800408185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
228.60.1
228.7→228.8
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
red by 86.7
1817
#16
141.90.1
141.7→141.8
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
Second
3310
#3
226.70.3
226.1→226.4
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
red by 91.7
1255
#11
135.00.3
135.5→135.2
Auto15.0
Teleop107.6
End13.6
Third
5427
#13
147.70.2
147.6→147.8
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
red by 20.0
5417
#20
127.70.2
127.2→127.5
Auto16.5
Teleop98.5
End17.3