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Red297
5417127.7
1817141.9
6645107.0
Blue324
1296173.7
5427147.7
3355135.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209396100300500600700297324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#16
141.90.5
142.2141.7
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
blue by 31.8
173.70.5
172.2172.7
Auto20.6
Teleop136.1
End15.7
Second
5417
#20
127.70.2
127.0127.2
Auto16.5
Teleop98.5
End17.3
blue by 20.0
5427
#13
147.70.5
147.0147.6
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
Third
6645
#32
107.00.8
106.1107.0
Auto17.3
Teleop82.1
End10.2
blue by 28.9
135.91.8
133.2135.0
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed