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Qual 472018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red208
624231.0
5726120.4
7312100.8
Blue442
148228.6
4610122.5
1477161.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261413100200300500600208442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
231.00.7
230.0→230.7
Auto25.9
Teleop162.8
End42.7
red by 2.4
148
#4
228.60.7
226.0→226.7
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
Second
5726
#30
120.40.6
119.4→120.0
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 41.1
1477
#14
161.50.7
162.4→161.7
Auto18.8
Teleop123.7
End16.2
Third
7312
#27
100.81.1
101.9→100.8
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End5.9
blue by 21.7
4610
#10
122.50.6
121.3→121.9
Auto17.5
Teleop91.9
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsEarned25%Face the Boss oddsMissed