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Red127
3676136.9
5892137.1
4639143.8
Blue286
5908120.2
2468164.1
4587187.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296376100200500600127286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#21DQ
143.80.3
144.9145.1
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0
blue by 44.1
187.91.3
186.1187.4
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
Second
5892
#28
137.10.5
138.6138.1
Auto16.7
Teleop106.0
End15.5
blue by 26.9
2468
#17
164.10.5
163.8164.3
Auto21.2
Teleop124.8
End18.5
Third
3676
#19
136.90.2
136.7136.9
Auto18.9
Teleop92.0
End26.8
red by 16.7
5908
#22
120.20.1
120.1120.2
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned25%Face the Boss oddsMissed