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Red197
6111119.3
5414150.4
4219124.2
Blue261
3310226.7
1255135.0
4717111.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2083890100300500600700197261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#12
150.40.3
150.0150.3
Auto22.2
Teleop119.4
End8.6
blue by 76.2
226.72.0
224.1226.1
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
Second
4219
#18
124.20.7
123.5124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
blue by 10.8
1255
#11
135.00.0
135.5135.5
Auto15.0
Teleop107.6
End13.6
Third
6111
#24
119.31.0
120.3119.3
Auto16.9
Teleop93.1
End11.6
red by 8.1
4717
#31
111.11.0
112.1111.1
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsMissed