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Qual 442018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red461
3005195.3
6357129.9
118228.6
Blue207
3481163.6
4063159.3
418145.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282680100200300500600461207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
228.60.3
228.4→228.7
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
red by 65.0
3481
#7
163.60.2
164.4→164.3
Auto21.2
Teleop120.0
End20.6
Second
3005
#5
195.31.7
190.9→192.6
Auto23.9
Teleop148.9
End20.5
red by 36.0
4063
#26
159.30.2
160.1→159.9
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
Third
6357
#25
129.90.7
130.8→130.2
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
blue by 15.2
418
#29
145.10.2
145.2→145.4
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
77%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed