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Red97
1817141.9
5892137.1
7303118.6
Blue442
5414150.4
148228.6
6800167.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206424010030050060097442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#16
141.90.4
141.8142.2
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
blue by 86.7
148
#4
228.60.7
225.2226.0
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
Second
5892
#28
137.10.4
138.2138.6
Auto16.7
Teleop106.0
End15.5
blue by 30.2
6800
#15
167.30.1
167.0166.9
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
Third
7303
#23
118.60.9
117.8118.6
Auto19.8
Teleop87.8
End11.1
blue by 31.8
5414
#12
150.40.2
149.8150.0
Auto22.2
Teleop119.4
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed